Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.055743 0.065924 0.077336 0.091060 0.107105 0.125257 0.147337
2025-05-18 0.041112 0.054548 0.071308 0.093688 0.122724 0.159056 0.207898
2025-05-25 0.030664 0.044535 0.063343 0.090582 0.128874 0.180619 0.255666
2025-06-01 0.024720 0.038699 0.059011 0.090456 0.137654 0.205546 0.310231
2025-06-08 0.020219 0.033808 0.054783 0.089197 0.143865 0.226852 0.361716
2025-06-15 0.017563 0.031137 0.053240 0.091410 0.155140 0.256537 0.429030
2025-06-22 0.014880 0.027862 0.050080 0.090318 0.160660 0.277524 0.484843
2025-06-29 0.012545 0.024731 0.046585 0.087967 0.163477 0.294067 0.534915
2025-07-06 0.010578 0.021901 0.043126 0.085043 0.164677 0.307689 0.581202
2025-07-13 0.009545 0.020666 0.042377 0.086925 0.174715 0.337833 0.660191
2025-07-20 0.008521 0.019264 0.041072 0.087492 0.182233 0.364083 0.734841
2025-07-27 0.007604 0.017924 0.039672 0.087624 0.188824 0.389184 0.809975
2025-08-03 0.006876 0.016894 0.038803 0.088828 0.197947 0.420668 0.902237
2025-08-10 0.006379 0.016308 0.038809 0.091917 0.211457 0.462594 1.020756
2025-08-17 0.005513 0.014690 0.036264 0.088969 0.211502 0.476694 1.082990
2025-08-24 0.004952 0.013717 0.035049 0.088865 0.217824 0.504750 1.178192
2025-08-31 0.004398 0.012658 0.033461 0.087631 0.221344 0.527013 1.263092
2025-09-07 0.004092 0.012204 0.033286 0.089807 0.233184 0.569182 1.397522
2025-09-14 0.003662 0.011327 0.031903 0.088734 0.236955 0.593187 1.492583
2025-09-21 0.003231 0.010366 0.030145 0.086422 0.237307 0.609124 1.570270
2025-09-28 0.002832 0.009423 0.028283 0.083547 0.235809 0.620381 1.637811
2025-10-05 0.002652 0.009114 0.028146 0.085398 0.247020 0.664294 1.791239
2025-10-12 0.002444 0.008680 0.027580 0.085956 0.254806 0.700398 1.928806